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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-04-06 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,428 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,208.49–2,256.41 (+2.8%) | 3.2 | 0.5% | 2h | 11.3d ago · 49× | 35% ±16 | 61% ±17 | 11% ±11 | 28% ±15 | 33 | 8% ±4 | 35% ±15 | 53% ±28 | 67% ±41 | 2.4d | 4.53% | 1.21% | 219 → 5 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,179.75 (+1.5%) | 1.7 | 2.4% | 11h | 19.9d ago · 44× | 56% ±20 | 50% ±17 | 11% ±11 | 39% ±17 | 33 | 25% ±7 | 56% ±20 | 72% ±31 | 92% ±31 | 17h | 2.24% | 1.53% | 141 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,147.59 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 2,147.4 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 4.8% | 1.6d | 12.3d ago · 55× | 85% ±20 | 56% ±16 | 5% ±7 | 39% ±16 | 38 | 75% ±10 | 85% ±20 | 92% ±27 | 92% ±38 | 1h | 2.17% | 2.02% | 73 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,122.2 (-1.2%) | 1.3 | 4.1% | 22h | 1.8d ago · 65× | 84% ±17 | 42% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 52% ±15 | 45 | 46% ±9 | 82% ±17 | 86% ±28 | 90% ±34 | 5h | 1.70% | 2.12% | 115 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 2,021.63–2,083.92 (-3.0%) | 3.3 | 2.9% | 20h | 3.1d ago · 84× | 42% ±13 | 44% ±11 | 21% ±9 | 35% ±10 | 81 | 8% ±3 | 42% ±13 | 66% ±22 | 79% ±28 | 1.3d | 1.92% | 1.67% | 315 → 8 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,052.86–2,057.56 (-4.2%) | 4.7 | 6.6% | 2.6d | 1.5d ago · 106× | 28% ±12 | 50% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 97 | 5% ±2 | 28% ±12 | 49% ±22 | 71% ±32 | 3.2d | 2.30% | 1.49% | 345 → 8 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,015.61–2,021.04 (-5.9%) | 6.7 | 3.1% | 1.1d | 1.4d ago · 85× | 12% ±6 | 55% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 38% ±11 | 75 | 2% ±1 | 12% ±6 | 33% ±15 | 54% ±24 | 4.8d | 2.79% | 1.59% | 684 → 16 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | long | 2,147.59 | 2,279.38 | 2,053.83 | expired | -1.54% |