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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-04-09 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,428 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,277.96–2,304.92 (+4.7%) | 5.2 | 0.9% | 3h | 11.3d ago · 49× | 23% ±13 | 59% ±17 | 11% ±10 | 30% ±15 | 34 | 4% ±2 | 23% ±13 | 41% ±26 | 61% ±39 | 5.3d | 4.48% | 1.24% | 255 → 6 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,179.13 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.8% | 15h | 19.9d ago · 44× | 91% ±15 | 49% ±17 | 11% ±10 | 41% ±17 | 34 | 74% ±10 | 91% ±15 | 94% ±24 | 99% ±15 | 1h | 2.21% | 1.57% | 78 → 2 | |
| at post · 2,176.66 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 2,162.3 (-0.7%) | 0.7 | 3.5% | 1.0d | 1.8d ago · 65× | 92% ±13 | 41% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 53% ±14 | 46 | 71% ±9 | 92% ±13 | 92% ±22 | 94% ±33 | 2h | 1.78% | 2.21% | 100 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 2,102.76–2,161.16 (-0.7%) | 0.8 | 3.5% | 1.1d | 3.1d ago · 84× | 85% ±11 | 45% ±11 | 21% ±9 | 34% ±10 | 82 | 63% ±6 | 85% ±10 | 90% ±15 | 95% ±18 | 2h | 1.95% | 1.65% | 262 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,151.87 (-1.1%) | 1.3 | 4.6% | 1.9d | 12.3d ago · 55× | 78% ±17 | 55% ±16 | 5% ±7 | 40% ±15 | 39 | 40% ±8 | 78% ±17 | 88% ±24 | 90% ±35 | 7h | 2.15% | 2.12% | 133 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,052.62–2,055.59 (-5.6%) | 6.3 | 6.6% | 2.8d | 1.5d ago · 106× | 20% ±10 | 51% ±10 | 9% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 98 | 3% ±2 | 20% ±10 | 39% ±21 | 66% ±31 | 4.5d | 2.35% | 1.44% | 365 → 9 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,020.66–2,025.85 (-6.9%) | 7.8 | 2.8% | 1.0d | 1.4d ago · 85× | 10% ±5 | 55% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 38% ±11 | 75 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±5 | 27% ±14 | 49% ±24 | 5.5d | 2.79% | 1.59% | 683 → 16 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | short | 2,176.66 | 2,055.59 | 2,207.43 | stop | -0.83% |