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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-04-09 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,428 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,277.96–2,304.92 (+4.3%) | 4.9 | 0.9% | 3h | 11.4d ago · 49× | 23% ±13 | 59% ±17 | 11% ±10 | 30% ±15 | 34 | 4% ±2 | 23% ±13 | 42% ±26 | 63% ±39 | 4.8d | 4.48% | 1.24% | 254 → 6 | |
| at post · 2,184.99 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 2,183.62 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.9% | 17h | 5.8d ago · 38× | 97% ±11 | 36% ±19 | 11% ±12 | 54% ±20 | 25 | 89% ±8 | 97% ±11 | 97% ±20 | 98% | 1h | 1.91% | 1.62% | 62 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,167.45 (-0.8%) | 0.9 | 3.2% | 20h | 1.9d ago · 65× | 88% ±14 | 41% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 53% ±14 | 46 | 66% ±9 | 88% ±15 | 91% ±23 | 94% ±28 | 2h | 1.78% | 2.21% | 113 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 2,102.76–2,161.16 (-1.1%) | 1.2 | 3.5% | 1.1d | 3.2d ago · 84× | 74% ±13 | 45% ±11 | 21% ±9 | 34% ±10 | 82 | 44% ±6 | 74% ±13 | 85% ±18 | 92% ±22 | 6h | 1.95% | 1.65% | 264 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,151.87 (-1.5%) | 1.7 | 4.6% | 1.9d | 12.4d ago · 55× | 72% ±20 | 55% ±16 | 5% ±7 | 40% ±15 | 39 | 27% ±8 | 72% ±20 | 85% ±26 | 87% ±38 | 13h | 2.15% | 2.12% | 117 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,052.62–2,055.59 (-5.9%) | 6.8 | 6.4% | 2.7d | 1.5d ago · 106× | 17% ±10 | 51% ±10 | 9% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 98 | 2% ±2 | 17% ±10 | 35% ±21 | 63% ±33 | 4.9d | 2.35% | 1.44% | 356 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,017.29–2,026.39 (-7.3%) | 8.3 | 2.9% | 24h | 1.4d ago · 85× | 9% ±5 | 55% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 38% ±11 | 75 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±5 | 26% ±14 | 47% ±24 | 6.1d | 2.79% | 1.59% | 692 → 16 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | long | 2,184.99 | 2,342.22 | 2,055.59 | expired | -0.01% |