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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-04-13 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,428 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,282.45–2,300.42 (+4.3%) | 6.9 | 0.7% | 3h | 11.4d ago · 49× | 16% ±10 | 58% ±16 | 11% ±10 | 32% ±15 | 35 | 2% ±2 | 16% ±10 | 36% ±23 | 51% ±37 | 6.8d | 4.53% | 1.26% | 312 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,264.71 (+3.4%) | 5.6 | 0.9% | 3h | 1.9d ago · 97× | 21% ±8 | 51% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 42% ±11 | 75 | 2% ±1 | 21% ±8 | 37% ±16 | 54% ±25 | 5.7d | 2.35% | 1.84% | 645 → 15 | |
| 7D POC · 30D VAH | 2,214.4–2,215.07 (+1.2%) | 1.9 | 1.6% | 12h | 1.7d ago · 104× | 56% ±16 | 49% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 43% ±11 | 79 | 21% ±5 | 56% ±16 | 73% ±25 | 85% ±31 | 17h | 2.13% | 1.69% | 222 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,192.93 (+0.2%) | 0.3 | 2.4% | 18h | 1.8d ago · 70× | 83% ±17 | 51% ±14 | 4% ±5 | 45% ±14 | 50 | 68% ±9 | 83% ±17 | 87% ±27 | 92% ±32 | 1h | 2.39% | 1.33% | 116 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,189.21 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 2,107.25–2,165.65 (-1.1%) | 1.7 | 2.5% | 16h | 3.2d ago · 84× | 60% ±14 | 45% ±11 | 21% ±9 | 34% ±10 | 83 | 24% ±5 | 60% ±14 | 78% ±21 | 88% ±24 | 16h | 1.99% | 1.64% | 274 → 7 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,145.04 (-2.0%) | 3.3 | 3.4% | 1.0d | 1.4d ago · 85× | 36% ±10 | 62% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 31% ±10 | 75 | 9% ±2 | 36% ±10 | 61% ±17 | 71% ±25 | 1.7d | 2.73% | 1.44% | 536 → 13 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 2,055.59–2,057.47 (-6.0%) | 9.8 | 3.5% | 1.5d | 1.5d ago · 85× | 5% ±5 | 49% ±11 | 12% ±7 | 39% ±11 | 74 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±5 | 17% ±16 | 43% ±32 | > 7d | 2.35% | 1.57% | 380 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,030.88 (-7.2%) | 12 | 1.4% | 8h | 21.5d ago · 30× | 3% ±3 | 50% ±19 | 7% ±9 | 43% ±19 | 27 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 13% ±10 | 32% ±21 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.55% | 751 → 18 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,017.62 (-7.8%) | 13 | 0.8% | 6h | 1.4d ago · 59× | 3% ±3 | 47% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 50 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 16% ±12 | 37% ±24 | > 7d | 2.51% | 1.85% | 640 → 15 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 2,189.21 | 2,057.47 | 2,224.49 | stop | -7.96% |