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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-04-13 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,428 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,282.45–2,300.42 (+4.5%) | 6.9 | 0.7% | 3h | 11.4d ago · 49× | 16% ±10 | 58% ±16 | 11% ±10 | 32% ±15 | 35 | 2% ±2 | 16% ±10 | 36% ±23 | 51% ±37 | 6.6d | 4.53% | 1.26% | 312 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,264.71 (+3.7%) | 5.7 | 1.0% | 3h | 1.9d ago · 97× | 20% ±8 | 51% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 42% ±11 | 75 | 2% ±1 | 20% ±8 | 36% ±16 | 54% ±25 | 5.8d | 2.35% | 1.84% | 647 → 15 | |
| 7D POC · 30D VAH | 2,214.4–2,215.07 (+1.4%) | 2.1 | 1.7% | 13h | 1.7d ago · 104× | 48% ±16 | 49% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 43% ±11 | 79 | 15% ±5 | 48% ±16 | 67% ±27 | 82% ±34 | 1.2d | 2.13% | 1.69% | 222 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,192.93 (+0.4%) | 0.6 | 2.6% | 20h | 1.8d ago · 70× | 81% ±16 | 51% ±14 | 4% ±5 | 45% ±14 | 50 | 64% ±8 | 81% ±15 | 87% ±24 | 91% ±29 | 2h | 2.39% | 1.33% | 147 → 4 | |
| at post · 2,184.34 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 2,107.25–2,165.65 (-0.9%) | 1.3 | 2.6% | 17h | 3.2d ago · 84× | 71% ±13 | 45% ±11 | 21% ±9 | 34% ±10 | 83 | 39% ±6 | 71% ±13 | 82% ±19 | 91% ±23 | 7h | 1.99% | 1.64% | 271 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,150.48 (-1.5%) | 2.4 | 3.4% | 1.4d | 1.4d ago · 85× | 43% ±12 | 62% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 31% ±10 | 75 | 15% ±3 | 43% ±12 | 69% ±19 | 76% ±26 | 1.3d | 2.73% | 1.44% | 422 → 10 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 2,055.59–2,057.47 (-5.8%) | 9.0 | 3.7% | 1.6d | 1.5d ago · 85× | 7% ±6 | 49% ±11 | 12% ±7 | 39% ±11 | 74 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±6 | 21% ±17 | 47% ±33 | > 7d | 2.35% | 1.57% | 387 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,030.88 (-7.0%) | 11 | 1.5% | 9h | 21.5d ago · 30× | 3% ±3 | 50% ±19 | 7% ±9 | 43% ±19 | 27 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 14% ±11 | 33% ±22 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.55% | 750 → 18 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,017.62 (-7.6%) | 12 | 0.8% | 6h | 1.4d ago · 59× | 5% ±4 | 47% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 50 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±4 | 19% ±13 | 40% ±24 | > 7d | 2.51% | 1.85% | 669 → 16 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 2,184.34 | 2,057.47 | 2,224.49 | stop | -9.27% |