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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-04-13 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,430 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.24 to 0.38) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,282.45–2,300.42 (+2.6%) | 3.3 | 0.9% | 3h | 11.6d ago · 49× | 33% ±14 | 58% ±16 | 11% ±10 | 32% ±15 | 35 | 8% ±3 | 32% ±14 | 55% ±26 | 71% ±36 | 2.3d | 4.53% | 1.26% | 251 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,264.71 (+1.8%) | 2.3 | 1.2% | 4h | 2.1d ago · 97× | 46% ±13 | 51% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 42% ±11 | 75 | 13% ±3 | 46% ±13 | 64% ±21 | 83% ±26 | 1.2d | 2.35% | 1.84% | 356 → 8 | |
| at post · 2,224.75 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH · 7D POC | 2,214.4–2,215.07 (-0.4%) | 0.6 | 2.2% | 16h | 1.8d ago · 106× | 88% ±9 | 51% ±10 | 7% ±5 | 43% ±10 | 99 | 72% ±5 | 88% ±9 | 92% ±13 | 96% ±15 | 1h | 2.27% | 1.35% | 296 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,199.31 (-1.1%) | 1.5 | 2.6% | 18h | 12.6d ago · 55× | 74% ±18 | 55% ±15 | 7% ±8 | 39% ±15 | 41 | 34% ±8 | 74% ±18 | 85% ±24 | 87% ±38 | 9h | 2.15% | 1.91% | 135 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 2,174.64–2,197.1 (-1.2%) | 1.6 | 2.8% | 21h | 3.4d ago · 84× | 64% ±14 | 45% ±11 | 22% ±9 | 33% ±10 | 84 | 29% ±5 | 63% ±14 | 79% ±20 | 89% ±23 | 12h | 1.95% | 1.63% | 285 → 7 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,172.24 (-2.4%) | 3.0 | 2.8% | 16h | 1.7d ago · 85× | 37% ±10 | 62% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 31% ±10 | 75 | 10% ±3 | 37% ±10 | 63% ±18 | 72% ±26 | 1.7d | 2.73% | 1.44% | 511 → 12 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 2,054.28–2,055.59 (-7.6%) | 9.7 | 4.5% | 2.1d | 1.8d ago · 85× | 5% ±5 | 49% ±11 | 12% ±7 | 39% ±11 | 74 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 17% ±16 | 44% ±32 | > 7d | 2.35% | 1.57% | 385 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,030.88 (-8.7%) | 11 | 1.8% | 11h | 21.8d ago · 30× | 3% ±3 | 50% ±19 | 7% ±9 | 43% ±19 | 27 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 14% ±10 | 33% ±22 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.55% | 754 → 18 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,017.62 (-9.3%) | 12 | 1.0% | 8h | 1.7d ago · 59× | 5% ±4 | 47% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 50 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±4 | 18% ±12 | 39% ±24 | > 7d | 2.51% | 1.85% | 669 → 16 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 2,224.75 | 2,264.71 | 2,172.24 | target | +4.86% |
| 30d | VAH | long | 2,224.75 | 2,408.94 | 2,055.59 | target | +4.86% |