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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-04-13 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,428 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,282.45–2,300.42 (+1.4%) | 1.6 | 1.0% | 4h | 11.4d ago · 49× | 49% ±18 | 58% ±16 | 11% ±10 | 32% ±15 | 35 | 20% ±6 | 49% ±18 | 64% ±30 | 81% ±38 | 1.0d | 4.53% | 1.26% | 177 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,259.28 (+0.3%) | 0.4 | 1.5% | 7h | 1.9d ago · 97× | 82% ±13 | 51% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 42% ±11 | 75 | 66% ±7 | 82% ±13 | 92% ±16 | 95% ±19 | 2h | 2.35% | 1.84% | 193 → 5 | |
| at post · 2,251.49 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH · 7D POC | 2,214.4–2,219.56 (-1.4%) | 1.7 | 2.2% | 13h | 1.5d ago · 106× | 62% ±15 | 51% ±10 | 7% ±5 | 43% ±10 | 99 | 27% ±6 | 62% ±15 | 78% ±23 | 87% ±27 | 14h | 2.27% | 1.35% | 241 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,202.49 (-2.2%) | 2.6 | 2.5% | 17h | 12.3d ago · 55× | 52% ±21 | 55% ±15 | 7% ±8 | 39% ±15 | 41 | 13% ±6 | 52% ±21 | 70% ±34 | 81% ±44 | 23h | 2.15% | 1.91% | 131 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 2,174.64–2,197.1 (-2.4%) | 2.9 | 3.1% | 23h | 3.2d ago · 84× | 48% ±14 | 45% ±11 | 22% ±9 | 33% ±10 | 84 | 10% ±3 | 48% ±14 | 71% ±22 | 83% ±28 | 1.1d | 1.95% | 1.63% | 314 → 7 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,174.96 (-3.4%) | 4.1 | 3.2% | 19h | 1.4d ago · 85× | 31% ±9 | 62% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 31% ±10 | 75 | 6% ±2 | 31% ±9 | 56% ±16 | 69% ±23 | 2.3d | 2.73% | 1.44% | 641 → 15 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 2,054.28–2,055.59 (-8.7%) | 10 | 4.8% | 2.3d | 1.5d ago · 85× | 4% ±5 | 49% ±11 | 12% ±7 | 39% ±11 | 74 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 15% ±15 | 41% ±32 | > 7d | 2.35% | 1.57% | 380 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,030.88 (-9.8%) | 12 | 2.0% | 12h | 21.5d ago · 30× | 3% ±3 | 50% ±19 | 7% ±9 | 43% ±19 | 27 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 13% ±10 | 32% ±21 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.55% | 757 → 18 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,020.81 (-10.2%) | 12 | 1.3% | 12h | 1.4d ago · 59× | 4% ±4 | 47% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 50 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±4 | 17% ±12 | 39% ±24 | > 7d | 2.51% | 1.85% | 663 → 16 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 2,251.49 | 2,214.4 | 2,274.45 | stop | -2.77% |