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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-05-05 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,427 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0040), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.51) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,413.84–2,418.01 (+2.1%) | 3.3 | 0.7% | 3h | 11.1d ago · 49× | 34% ±14 | 55% ±16 | 10% ±10 | 35% ±15 | 37 | 8% ±3 | 34% ±14 | 57% ±26 | 73% ±35 | 2.0d | 4.43% | 1.30% | 249 → 6 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,393 (+1.2%) | 1.9 | 1.9% | 12h | 19.6d ago · 44× | 51% ±20 | 45% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 43% ±16 | 39 | 19% ±6 | 53% ±20 | 70% ±32 | 89% ±30 | 21h | 1.95% | 1.53% | 150 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,371.96 (+0.3%) | 0.5 | 3.2% | 17h | 1.6d ago · 70× | 82% ±15 | 53% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 42% ±13 | 57 | 67% ±8 | 82% ±15 | 87% ±23 | 91% ±28 | 2h | 2.31% | 1.26% | 149 → 4 | |
| at post · 2,364.49 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 2,357.47 (-0.3%) | 0.5 | 3.5% | 1.0d | 1.6d ago · 65× | 92% ±13 | 41% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 54% ±13 | 53 | 70% ±8 | 91% ±13 | 92% ±22 | 94% ±27 | 2h | 1.70% | 2.30% | 113 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 2,313.77–2,315.89 (-2.1%) | 3.2 | 6.5% | 2.7d | 1.2d ago · 85× | 44% ±14 | 49% ±11 | 12% ±7 | 39% ±11 | 81 | 11% ±3 | 43% ±14 | 64% ±23 | 75% ±32 | 1.5d | 2.27% | 1.59% | 298 → 7 | |
| 7D POC | 2,302.55 (-2.6%) | 4.1 | 4.0% | 1.7d | 1.2d ago · 106× | 36% ±12 | 54% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 39% ±9 | 109 | 7% ±3 | 36% ±12 | 55% ±21 | 74% ±29 | 2.0d | 2.33% | 1.28% | 369 → 9 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,276 (-3.7%) | 5.8 | 2.0% | 15h | 1.1d ago · 59× | 14% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 5% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 52 | 2% ±1 | 14% ±6 | 36% ±15 | 59% ±23 | 5.1d | 2.51% | 1.85% | 707 → 17 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,249.44 (-4.9%) | 7.6 | 2.1% | 15h | 1.1d ago · 85× | 13% ±6 | 62% ±10 | 7% ±6 | 31% ±10 | 82 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±6 | 31% ±14 | 52% ±23 | 6.2d | 2.67% | 1.42% | 750 → 18 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,230.44 (-5.7%) | 8.9 | 1.8% | 10h | 21.3d ago · 30× | 4% ±4 | 50% ±19 | 7% ±9 | 43% ±19 | 27 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±4 | 16% ±11 | 33% ±22 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.55% | 752 → 18 | |
| LVN zone | 2,155.41–2,172.09 (-8.1%) | 13 | 0.6% | 3h | 1.1d ago · 47× | 2% ±3 | 56% ±15 | 12% ±10 | 33% ±15 | 40 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±9 | 13% ±23 | > 7d | 2.57% | 1.78% | 352 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 2,364.49 | 2,313.77 | 2,389.23 | stop | +0.33% |