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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-05-05 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,427 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0040), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.51) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,414.04–2,418.19 (+1.4%) | 2.3 | 0.6% | 3h | 11.2d ago · 49× | 40% ±17 | 55% ±16 | 10% ±10 | 35% ±15 | 37 | 11% ±4 | 40% ±16 | 58% ±29 | 80% ±35 | 1.8d | 4.43% | 1.30% | 201 → 5 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,393.28 (+0.5%) | 0.8 | 1.8% | 11h | 19.8d ago · 44× | 84% ±15 | 45% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 43% ±16 | 39 | 60% ±8 | 84% ±15 | 88% ±23 | 96% ±23 | 2h | 1.95% | 1.53% | 137 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,381.37 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 2,374 (-0.3%) | 0.5 | 3.0% | 17h | 12.2d ago · 55× | 84% ±16 | 53% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 40% ±15 | 44 | 62% ±8 | 84% ±16 | 90% ±22 | 90% ±34 | 2h | 1.89% | 2.02% | 126 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,361.07 (-0.9%) | 1.4 | 3.4% | 23h | 1.7d ago · 65× | 83% ±15 | 41% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 54% ±13 | 53 | 39% ±8 | 83% ±15 | 88% ±23 | 92% ±26 | 6h | 1.70% | 2.30% | 148 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 2,327.76 (-2.3%) | 3.8 | 5.2% | 1.8d | 1.4d ago · 106× | 37% ±12 | 54% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 39% ±9 | 109 | 8% ±3 | 37% ±12 | 56% ±22 | 74% ±29 | 1.8d | 2.33% | 1.28% | 368 → 9 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 2,313.77–2,316.46 (-2.7%) | 4.6 | 6.0% | 2.5d | 1.4d ago · 85× | 30% ±12 | 49% ±11 | 12% ±7 | 39% ±11 | 81 | 6% ±2 | 30% ±11 | 51% ±22 | 69% ±30 | 3.0d | 2.27% | 1.59% | 365 → 9 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,276 (-4.4%) | 7.4 | 1.9% | 14h | 1.3d ago · 59× | 11% ±5 | 47% ±14 | 5% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 52 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±5 | 31% ±14 | 53% ±23 | 6.1d | 2.51% | 1.85% | 744 → 18 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,249.44 (-5.5%) | 9.3 | 2.0% | 14h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 9% ±5 | 62% ±10 | 7% ±6 | 31% ±10 | 82 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±5 | 26% ±14 | 46% ±24 | > 7d | 2.67% | 1.42% | 700 → 17 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,231.35 (-6.3%) | 11 | 1.8% | 10h | 21.4d ago · 30× | 3% ±3 | 50% ±19 | 7% ±9 | 43% ±19 | 27 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 13% ±10 | 30% ±20 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.55% | 820 → 20 | |
| LVN zone | 2,152.46–2,169.07 (-8.9%) | 15 | 0.5% | 2h | 1.2d ago · 47× | 1% ±3 | 56% ±15 | 12% ±10 | 33% ±15 | 40 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 3% ±9 | 9% ±21 | > 7d | 2.57% | 1.78% | 308 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | long | 2,381.37 | 2,479.37 | 2,313.77 | expired | -1.33% |