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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-05-06 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,428 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 2,389.88–2,390.81 (+1.1%) | 1.7 | 2.2% | 13h | 1.9d ago · 97× | 54% ±13 | 47% ±11 | 9% ±6 | 44% ±11 | 81 | 26% ±5 | 54% ±13 | 72% ±21 | 89% ±22 | 19h | 1.96% | 1.87% | 323 → 8 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAH | 2,369.17–2,369.92 (+0.2%) | 0.3 | 3.8% | 23h | 1.7d ago · 104× | 89% ±9 | 50% ±10 | 8% ±6 | 42% ±10 | 90 | 75% ±5 | 89% ±9 | 92% ±14 | 95% ±18 | 1h | 2.19% | 1.45% | 262 → 6 | |
| at post · 2,364.56 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 2,313.77–2,315.72 (-2.1%) | 3.2 | 6.5% | 2.7d | 1.5d ago · 85× | 44% ±14 | 49% ±11 | 12% ±7 | 39% ±11 | 81 | 11% ±3 | 43% ±14 | 64% ±23 | 76% ±32 | 1.5d | 2.27% | 1.59% | 296 → 7 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,292.65 (-3.0%) | 4.7 | 2.7% | 20h | 1.4d ago · 85× | 25% ±8 | 62% ±10 | 7% ±6 | 31% ±10 | 82 | 4% ±1 | 25% ±8 | 49% ±15 | 64% ±23 | 3.3d | 2.67% | 1.42% | 734 → 17 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,267.83 (-4.1%) | 6.3 | 2.0% | 12h | 1.4d ago · 59× | 13% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 5% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 52 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±6 | 35% ±15 | 58% ±23 | 5.3d | 2.51% | 1.85% | 732 → 17 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,232.53 (-5.6%) | 8.6 | 2.0% | 12h | 21.5d ago · 30× | 5% ±4 | 50% ±19 | 7% ±9 | 43% ±19 | 27 | 0% ±0 | 5% ±4 | 16% ±11 | 33% ±22 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.55% | 742 → 18 | |
| LVN zone | 2,155.41–2,167.59 (-8.3%) | 13 | 0.5% | 2h | 1.3d ago · 47× | 1% ±3 | 56% ±15 | 12% ±10 | 33% ±15 | 40 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 4% ±9 | 12% ±22 | > 7d | 2.57% | 1.78% | 343 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 2,364.56 | 2,292.65 | 2,389.88 | stop | +1.62% |
| 14d | VAH | short | 2,364.56 | 2,313.77 | 2,388.29 | stop | +1.62% |