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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-05-06 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,427 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0040), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.51) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,394.87 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 1.9% | 11h | 19.6d ago · 44× | 93% ±13 | 44% ±15 | 14% ±11 | 42% ±15 | 40 | 76% ±9 | 93% ±13 | 95% ±18 | 99% ±15 | 1h | 1.93% | 1.51% | 86 → 2 | |
| at post · 2,393.55 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 2,391.68 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.2% | 13h | 1.6d ago · 65× | 88% ±18 | 42% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 53% ±13 | 54 | 74% ±10 | 88% ±18 | 88% ±32 | 91% ±40 | 1h | 1.78% | 2.21% | 80 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 2,281.23–2,382.69 (-0.5%) | 0.7 | 2.6% | 13h | 2.9d ago · 84× | 85% ±10 | 44% ±10 | 23% ±9 | 33% ±10 | 90 | 65% ±6 | 85% ±10 | 89% ±16 | 93% ±19 | 2h | 1.92% | 1.63% | 276 → 7 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAH | 2,367.87–2,369.17 (-1.0%) | 1.6 | 3.9% | 1.0d | 1.2d ago · 106× | 67% ±13 | 53% ±9 | 7% ±5 | 40% ±9 | 109 | 33% ±5 | 67% ±13 | 78% ±20 | 86% ±26 | 11h | 2.20% | 1.49% | 302 → 7 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 2,313.77–2,315.72 (-3.3%) | 5.0 | 6.6% | 2.8d | 1.2d ago · 85× | 26% ±11 | 49% ±11 | 12% ±7 | 39% ±11 | 81 | 4% ±2 | 26% ±11 | 47% ±21 | 67% ±31 | 3.6d | 2.27% | 1.59% | 385 → 9 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,292.65 (-4.2%) | 6.5 | 2.8% | 21h | 1.1d ago · 85× | 16% ±6 | 62% ±10 | 7% ±6 | 31% ±10 | 82 | 2% ±1 | 16% ±6 | 37% ±14 | 56% ±22 | 5.0d | 2.67% | 1.42% | 784 → 19 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,267.83 (-5.3%) | 8.1 | 2.1% | 12h | 1.1d ago · 59× | 10% ±5 | 47% ±14 | 5% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 52 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±5 | 29% ±14 | 50% ±23 | 6.8d | 2.51% | 1.85% | 752 → 18 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,240.64 (-6.4%) | 9.9 | 2.4% | 20h | 21.3d ago · 30× | 3% ±3 | 50% ±19 | 7% ±9 | 43% ±19 | 27 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 14% ±10 | 31% ±21 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.55% | 805 → 19 | |
| LVN zone | 2,159.47–2,167.59 (-9.4%) | 15 | 0.6% | 2h | 1.1d ago · 47× | 1% ±3 | 56% ±15 | 12% ±10 | 33% ±15 | 40 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 3% ±8 | 9% ±20 | > 7d | 2.57% | 1.78% | 317 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 2,393.55 | 2,492.58 | 2,369.17 | stop | -2.54% |