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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-05-08 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,428 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 2,387.52–2,389.97 (+3.5%) | 6.1 | 2.3% | 12h | 1.9d ago · 97× | 15% ±6 | 47% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 45% ±11 | 82 | 1% ±1 | 14% ±6 | 32% ±14 | 53% ±23 | 6.2d | 2.07% | 1.83% | 737 → 18 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D POC | 2,365.49–2,369.22 (+2.6%) | 4.4 | 3.9% | 24h | 1.7d ago · 104× | 21% ±9 | 49% ±10 | 8% ±5 | 43% ±10 | 91 | 3% ±2 | 21% ±9 | 40% ±19 | 62% ±29 | 4.6d | 2.22% | 1.48% | 468 → 11 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 2,315.58–2,317.63 (+0.4%) | 0.7 | 6.6% | 2.6d | 1.7d ago · 79× | 89% ±10 | 37% ±11 | 14% ±8 | 49% ±11 | 74 | 69% ±6 | 89% ±10 | 95% ±12 | 97% ±14 | 1h | 2.00% | 1.34% | 249 → 6 | |
| at post · 2,306 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 2,303.2 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 4.3% | 1.6d | 1.4d ago · 85× | 83% ±14 | 62% ±10 | 7% ±5 | 31% ±10 | 83 | 66% ±7 | 83% ±14 | 90% ±19 | 93% ±25 | 2h | 2.64% | 1.44% | 165 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,267.72–2,272.99 (-1.4%) | 2.5 | 2.1% | 13h | 1.4d ago · 59× | 29% ±11 | 48% ±13 | 6% ±6 | 47% ±13 | 53 | 7% ±2 | 29% ±11 | 50% ±20 | 63% ±30 | 3.5d | 2.80% | 1.71% | 419 → 10 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.