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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-05-09 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,421 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.45) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 2,387.52–2,389.97 (+3.5%) | 6.1 | 2.3% | 12h | 1.5d ago · 97× | 14% ±6 | 47% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 45% ±11 | 82 | 1% ±1 | 14% ±6 | 32% ±14 | 52% ±23 | 6.2d | 2.07% | 1.83% | 737 → 18 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D POC | 2,365.49–2,369.22 (+2.5%) | 4.4 | 3.8% | 23h | 1.3d ago · 104× | 21% ±9 | 49% ±10 | 8% ±5 | 43% ±10 | 91 | 3% ±2 | 21% ±9 | 40% ±19 | 62% ±29 | 4.6d | 2.22% | 1.48% | 467 → 11 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 2,313.55–2,317.63 (+0.3%) | 0.4 | 6.4% | 2.6d | 1.3d ago · 79× | 89% ±10 | 37% ±11 | 14% ±8 | 49% ±11 | 74 | 72% ±6 | 90% ±10 | 95% ±12 | 97% ±14 | 1h | 2.00% | 1.34% | 219 → 5 | |
| at post · 2,307.68 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 2,304.79 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 4.6% | 1.7d | 5.2d ago · 84× | 83% ±14 | 62% ±10 | 7% ±5 | 31% ±10 | 83 | 66% ±7 | 83% ±14 | 91% ±19 | 93% ±25 | 2h | 2.64% | 1.44% | 167 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,267.72–2,272.99 (-1.5%) | 2.6 | 2.0% | 13h | 5.3d ago · 58× | 28% ±10 | 48% ±13 | 6% ±6 | 47% ±13 | 53 | 7% ±2 | 28% ±10 | 49% ±20 | 62% ±30 | 3.7d | 2.80% | 1.71% | 429 → 10 | |
| LVN zone | 2,202.18–2,205.26 (-4.4%) | 7.8 | 1.1% | 7h | 14.5d ago · 46× | 8% ±7 | 56% ±15 | 12% ±10 | 33% ±15 | 40 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±7 | 17% ±16 | 26% ±29 | > 7d | 2.57% | 1.78% | 359 → 9 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 2,307.68 | 2,369.22 | 2,289.9 | expired | +0.67% |