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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-05-09 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,421 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.45) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 2,387.52–2,389.97 (+3.3%) | 6.1 | 2.2% | 11h | 1.5d ago · 97× | 15% ±6 | 47% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 45% ±11 | 82 | 1% ±1 | 14% ±6 | 32% ±14 | 53% ±23 | 6.1d | 2.07% | 1.83% | 738 → 18 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D POC | 2,365.49–2,369.22 (+2.3%) | 4.3 | 3.6% | 22h | 1.3d ago · 104× | 22% ±9 | 49% ±10 | 8% ±5 | 43% ±10 | 91 | 4% ±2 | 22% ±9 | 41% ±19 | 63% ±29 | 4.5d | 2.22% | 1.48% | 455 → 11 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 2,313.55–2,317.63 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 6.3% | 2.5d | 1.3d ago · 79× | 91% ±10 | 37% ±11 | 14% ±8 | 49% ±11 | 74 | 77% ±6 | 91% ±10 | 95% ±12 | 97% ±15 | 1h | 2.00% | 1.34% | 196 → 5 | |
| at post · 2,311.59 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 2,306.38 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 4.7% | 1.8d | 5.1d ago · 84× | 80% ±13 | 62% ±10 | 7% ±5 | 31% ±10 | 83 | 62% ±7 | 80% ±13 | 88% ±19 | 92% ±24 | 2h | 2.64% | 1.44% | 206 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,267.72–2,272.99 (-1.7%) | 3.1 | 1.9% | 12h | 5.3d ago · 58× | 26% ±10 | 48% ±13 | 6% ±6 | 46% ±13 | 53 | 6% ±2 | 26% ±10 | 46% ±19 | 60% ±28 | 3.1d | 2.77% | 1.68% | 483 → 12 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 2,311.59 | 2,267.72 | 2,365.49 | expired | -0.68% |