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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-05-09 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,421 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.45) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 2,387.52–2,389.97 (+3.1%) | 6.0 | 2.1% | 11h | 1.5d ago · 97× | 15% ±6 | 47% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 45% ±11 | 82 | 1% ±1 | 15% ±6 | 33% ±14 | 53% ±23 | 6.1d | 2.07% | 1.83% | 740 → 18 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D POC | 2,365.49–2,369.22 (+2.1%) | 4.2 | 3.4% | 21h | 1.3d ago · 104× | 23% ±10 | 49% ±10 | 8% ±5 | 43% ±10 | 91 | 4% ±2 | 23% ±10 | 42% ±20 | 63% ±30 | 4.4d | 2.22% | 1.48% | 428 → 10 | |
| 30D POC | 2,317.63 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 6.0% | 2.4d | 1.3d ago · 67× | 90% ±11 | 38% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 50% ±13 | 61 | 80% ±6 | 91% ±11 | 94% ±15 | 97% ±17 | 1h | 1.95% | 1.27% | 158 → 4 | |
| at post · 2,316.16 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 2,313.55 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 6.1% | 2.5d | 1.3d ago · 85× | 91% ±9 | 45% ±11 | 14% ±8 | 41% ±11 | 82 | 78% ±5 | 91% ±9 | 94% ±13 | 95% ±18 | 1h | 1.97% | 1.68% | 220 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,306.38 (-0.4%) | 0.8 | 4.4% | 1.7d | 5.2d ago · 84× | 69% ±13 | 62% ±10 | 7% ±5 | 31% ±10 | 83 | 49% ±6 | 70% ±13 | 83% ±18 | 88% ±24 | 5h | 2.64% | 1.44% | 279 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,276.07 (-1.7%) | 3.4 | 2.1% | 15h | 21.2d ago · 30× | 23% ±11 | 52% ±19 | 6% ±9 | 42% ±18 | 28 | 6% ±3 | 23% ±11 | 38% ±22 | 46% ±35 | > 7d | 3.34% | 1.46% | 327 → 8 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,267.72 (-2.1%) | 4.1 | 1.7% | 10h | 5.3d ago · 58× | 23% ±9 | 46% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 48% ±13 | 53 | 4% ±2 | 23% ±9 | 47% ±18 | 65% ±26 | 3.6d | 2.46% | 1.79% | 541 → 13 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | long | 2,316.16 | 2,365.49 | 2,267.72 | expired | +0.56% |