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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-05-09 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,427 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0040), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.51) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 2,387.52–2,389.97 (+3.1%) | 6.9 | 1.8% | 10h | 1.6d ago · 97× | 11% ±6 | 47% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 45% ±11 | 82 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±5 | 28% ±14 | 48% ±23 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.83% | 738 → 18 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D POC | 2,365.49–2,369.22 (+2.2%) | 4.8 | 3.0% | 18h | 1.4d ago · 104× | 18% ±8 | 49% ±10 | 8% ±5 | 43% ±10 | 91 | 3% ±1 | 18% ±8 | 38% ±18 | 59% ±28 | 5.0d | 2.22% | 1.48% | 512 → 12 | |
| at post · 2,315.62 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 2,313.55–2,314.55 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 5.6% | 2.4d | 1.2d ago · 85× | 90% ±10 | 48% ±11 | 12% ±7 | 40% ±11 | 82 | 78% ±6 | 90% ±10 | 94% ±14 | 95% ±18 | 1h | 2.23% | 1.57% | 219 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,307.98 (-0.3%) | 0.7 | 4.2% | 1.6d | 1.1d ago · 85× | 73% ±13 | 62% ±10 | 7% ±5 | 31% ±10 | 83 | 52% ±6 | 73% ±13 | 85% ±18 | 89% ±25 | 4h | 2.64% | 1.44% | 261 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,276.07 (-1.7%) | 3.8 | 1.9% | 13h | 21.2d ago · 30× | 20% ±10 | 52% ±19 | 6% ±9 | 42% ±18 | 28 | 5% ±2 | 20% ±10 | 36% ±21 | 44% ±32 | > 7d | 3.34% | 1.46% | 364 → 9 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,267.72 (-2.1%) | 4.6 | 1.5% | 9h | 1.1d ago · 59× | 20% ±8 | 46% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 48% ±13 | 53 | 3% ±1 | 20% ±8 | 44% ±17 | 64% ±25 | 4.0d | 2.46% | 1.79% | 600 → 14 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | long | 2,315.62 | 2,389.97 | 2,276.07 | expired | +0.32% |