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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-05-10 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,421 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.45) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 2,385.93 (+2.5%) | 5.3 | 2.0% | 10h | 1.4d ago · 97× | 22% ±7 | 48% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 46% ±11 | 82 | 2% ±1 | 22% ±7 | 41% ±15 | 60% ±23 | 4.2d | 2.12% | 1.99% | 729 → 17 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,379.51 (+2.2%) | 4.7 | 2.2% | 10h | 19.5d ago · 44× | 20% ±10 | 43% ±15 | 14% ±11 | 43% ±15 | 41 | 3% ±2 | 20% ±10 | 41% ±22 | 63% ±33 | 4.4d | 1.95% | 1.50% | 333 → 8 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAH | 2,362.86–2,363.45 (+1.5%) | 3.2 | 3.5% | 22h | 1.2d ago · 104× | 37% ±13 | 49% ±10 | 8% ±5 | 43% ±10 | 91 | 9% ±3 | 37% ±13 | 56% ±24 | 72% ±33 | 2.1d | 2.22% | 1.48% | 302 → 7 | |
| at post · 2,327.17 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAL | 2,311.16–2,314.07 (-0.6%) | 1.2 | 6.2% | 2.6d | 1.2d ago · 85× | 68% ±12 | 53% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 36% ±10 | 84 | 44% ±5 | 68% ±12 | 83% ±16 | 88% ±23 | 7h | 2.35% | 1.48% | 353 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,277.71 (-2.1%) | 4.5 | 2.2% | 17h | 21.1d ago · 30× | 15% ±8 | 52% ±19 | 6% ±9 | 42% ±18 | 28 | 3% ±2 | 14% ±8 | 32% ±19 | 42% ±31 | > 7d | 3.34% | 1.46% | 422 → 10 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,267.72 (-2.6%) | 5.4 | 1.6% | 10h | 5.2d ago · 58× | 16% ±7 | 46% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 48% ±13 | 53 | 2% ±1 | 16% ±7 | 39% ±15 | 61% ±23 | 4.6d | 2.46% | 1.79% | 693 → 17 | |
| LVN zone | 2,213.72–2,225.35 (-4.4%) | 9.2 | 0.5% | 2h | 14.4d ago · 46× | 6% ±6 | 56% ±15 | 12% ±10 | 33% ±15 | 40 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±6 | 13% ±14 | 22% ±27 | > 7d | 2.57% | 1.78% | 386 → 9 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 2,327.17 | 2,311.16 | 2,385.93 | target | -0.42% |
| 14d | VAH | short | 2,327.17 | 2,313.55 | 2,380.68 | stop | -0.42% |