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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-05-11 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,421 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.45) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 7D VAH | 2,379.51–2,385.93 (+1.2%) | 1.9 | 3.0% | 14h | 1.5d ago · 97× | 48% ±12 | 47% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 45% ±11 | 82 | 14% ±3 | 48% ±12 | 67% ±19 | 86% ±21 | 1.1d | 2.07% | 1.83% | 422 → 10 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D POC | 2,363.45–2,367.63 (+0.5%) | 0.8 | 4.7% | 1.2d | 1.3d ago · 104× | 81% ±10 | 49% ±10 | 8% ±5 | 43% ±10 | 91 | 58% ±5 | 81% ±10 | 88% ±15 | 93% ±18 | 3h | 2.22% | 1.48% | 342 → 8 | |
| at post · 2,351.43 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAL | 2,311.16–2,314.07 (-1.6%) | 2.6 | 8.0% | 3.3d | 1.3d ago · 85× | 43% ±10 | 53% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 36% ±10 | 84 | 12% ±3 | 44% ±10 | 67% ±17 | 76% ±23 | 1.4d | 2.35% | 1.48% | 529 → 13 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,280.62 (-3.0%) | 4.9 | 3.3% | 1.1d | 21.2d ago · 30× | 11% ±7 | 52% ±19 | 6% ±9 | 42% ±18 | 28 | 2% ±1 | 11% ±7 | 28% ±17 | 40% ±29 | > 7d | 3.34% | 1.46% | 467 → 11 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,267.72 (-3.6%) | 5.8 | 2.1% | 13h | 5.3d ago · 58× | 14% ±6 | 46% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 48% ±13 | 53 | 2% ±1 | 14% ±6 | 37% ±15 | 61% ±23 | 4.8d | 2.46% | 1.79% | 720 → 17 | |
| LVN zone | 2,213.72–2,225.35 (-5.4%) | 8.7 | 0.7% | 3h | 14.5d ago · 46× | 6% ±6 | 56% ±15 | 12% ±10 | 33% ±15 | 40 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±6 | 14% ±15 | 23% ±28 | > 7d | 2.57% | 1.78% | 385 → 9 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 2,351.43 | 2,311.16 | 2,385.93 | target | +0.80% |
| 14d | VAH | short | 2,351.43 | 2,313.55 | 2,380.68 | target | +0.80% |
| 30d | VAH | short | 2,351.43 | 2,314.07 | 2,397.31 | target | +0.80% |