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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-05-13 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,421 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.45) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 2,369.56–2,374.15 (+2.3%) | 4.3 | 4.0% | 22h | 1.4d ago · 70× | 23% ±9 | 49% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 43% ±13 | 60 | 4% ±2 | 22% ±9 | 44% ±19 | 66% ±28 | 3.9d | 2.26% | 1.37% | 458 → 11 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,352.22 (+1.6%) | 2.9 | 3.9% | 1.1d | 1.5d ago · 97× | 40% ±10 | 48% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 46% ±11 | 82 | 8% ±2 | 40% ±10 | 61% ±17 | 82% ±21 | 1.5d | 2.12% | 1.99% | 535 → 13 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,327.8–2,331.3 (+0.5%) | 1.0 | 6.8% | 2.6d | 1.3d ago · 104× | 82% ±10 | 43% ±10 | 13% ±7 | 44% ±10 | 92 | 57% ±5 | 82% ±10 | 90% ±14 | 94% ±17 | 4h | 2.11% | 1.47% | 336 → 8 | |
| at post · 2,315.57 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 2,314.83 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 7.4% | 3.1d | 1.3d ago · 72× | 91% ±12 | 53% ±12 | 9% ±7 | 38% ±11 | 71 | 78% ±7 | 91% ±12 | 95% ±16 | 97% ±20 | 1h | 2.50% | 1.40% | 146 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,277.9–2,281.55 (-1.5%) | 2.7 | 3.5% | 1.3d | 5.1d ago · 84× | 32% ±10 | 55% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 39% ±10 | 86 | 9% ±2 | 33% ±10 | 56% ±18 | 67% ±26 | 2.8d | 2.69% | 1.54% | 534 → 13 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | long | 2,315.57 | 2,374.15 | 2,281.55 | stop | -2.18% |