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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-05-13 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,427 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0040), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.51) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 2,369.56–2,375.86 (+3.8%) | 6.4 | 4.2% | 23h | 1.6d ago · 70× | 11% ±6 | 49% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 43% ±13 | 60 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±6 | 30% ±14 | 52% ±24 | 6.3d | 2.26% | 1.37% | 719 → 17 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,341.49 (+2.6%) | 4.3 | 4.8% | 1.3d | 1.6d ago · 97× | 28% ±8 | 48% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 46% ±11 | 82 | 4% ±1 | 28% ±8 | 48% ±16 | 70% ±22 | 3.4d | 2.12% | 1.99% | 676 → 16 | |
| 7D POC | 2,330.32 (+2.1%) | 3.5 | 7.0% | 2.7d | 1.4d ago · 104× | 33% ±13 | 48% ±10 | 9% ±6 | 42% ±10 | 92 | 7% ±3 | 32% ±12 | 51% ±23 | 67% ±33 | 2.8d | 2.17% | 1.56% | 325 → 8 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 2,313.55–2,314.83 (+1.3%) | 2.2 | 7.9% | 3.3d | 1.4d ago · 79× | 55% ±18 | 37% ±11 | 15% ±8 | 48% ±11 | 75 | 19% ±6 | 56% ±17 | 74% ±27 | 84% ±36 | 21h | 2.00% | 1.31% | 185 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 2,299.22–2,370.19 (+0.7%) | 1.2 | 4.2% | 1.4d | 7.9d ago · 82× | 73% ±12 | 51% ±11 | 23% ±9 | 27% ±10 | 76 | 43% ±6 | 74% ±12 | 83% ±18 | 86% ±26 | 6h | 1.90% | 1.91% | 302 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,285.03 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 4.1% | 1.5d | 103.7d ago · 18× | 87% ±33 | 44% ±25 | 11% ±16 | 44% ±25 | 15 | 80% ±16 | 88% ±32 | 88% | 88% | 1h | 2.43% | 2.29% | 23 → 1 | |
| at post · 2,283.08 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 2,277.48–2,277.9 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 3.1% | 1.0d | 1.2d ago · 85× | 79% ±13 | 56% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 38% ±10 | 86 | 62% ±6 | 80% ±13 | 86% ±20 | 89% ±28 | 2h | 2.55% | 1.55% | 215 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | short | 2,283.08 | 2,192.24 | 2,314.83 | expired | +0.99% |