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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-05-14 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,421 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.45) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 2,375.65–2,376.34 (+4.9%) | 7.4 | 3.7% | 19h | 1.5d ago · 70× | 9% ±5 | 49% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 43% ±13 | 60 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±5 | 27% ±13 | 48% ±22 | > 7d | 2.26% | 1.37% | 792 → 19 | |
| 7D POC · 7D VAH | 2,330.52–2,337.22 (+2.9%) | 4.4 | 7.8% | 2.9d | 1.3d ago · 104× | 24% ±8 | 48% ±10 | 8% ±5 | 44% ±10 | 92 | 3% ±1 | 24% ±8 | 43% ±16 | 63% ±23 | 4.1d | 2.15% | 1.76% | 703 → 17 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 2,313.8–2,315.62 (+2.1%) | 3.3 | 8.7% | 3.6d | 1.3d ago · 79× | 31% ±14 | 37% ±11 | 15% ±8 | 48% ±11 | 75 | 7% ±3 | 31% ±14 | 53% ±26 | 67% ±38 | 2.8d | 2.00% | 1.31% | 251 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 2,299.69–2,351.15 (+1.5%) | 2.3 | 4.7% | 1.6d | 7.8d ago · 82× | 48% ±13 | 51% ±11 | 23% ±9 | 27% ±10 | 76 | 14% ±4 | 48% ±13 | 63% ±22 | 69% ±32 | 1.1d | 1.90% | 1.91% | 331 → 8 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 2,283.98–2,284.99 (+0.8%) | 1.3 | 4.5% | 1.6d | 21.0d ago · 46× | 64% ±23 | 41% ±15 | 8% ±9 | 51% ±16 | 39 | 38% ±10 | 64% ±23 | 73% ±36 | 74% ±61 | 13h | 2.18% | 2.39% | 100 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,276.18 (+0.5%) | 0.7 | 3.2% | 23h | 5.3d ago · 56× | 87% ±14 | 49% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 45% ±14 | 48 | 68% ±8 | 87% ±14 | 92% ±20 | 95% ±26 | 1h | 2.38% | 1.83% | 130 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,265.27 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.