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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-05-14 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,427 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0040), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.51) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 2,373.2–2,376.34 (+5.2%) | 7.6 | 4.2% | 22h | 1.6d ago · 70× | 9% ±5 | 49% ±13 | 8% ±7 | 43% ±13 | 60 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±5 | 27% ±13 | 48% ±22 | > 7d | 2.26% | 1.37% | 798 → 19 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,338.7 (+3.7%) | 5.4 | 5.8% | 1.6d | 1.6d ago · 97× | 22% ±7 | 48% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 46% ±11 | 82 | 2% ±1 | 21% ±7 | 40% ±15 | 58% ±23 | 4.8d | 2.12% | 1.99% | 747 → 18 | |
| 7D POC | 2,330.52 (+3.3%) | 4.8 | 8.1% | 3.0d | 1.4d ago · 104× | 20% ±10 | 48% ±10 | 9% ±6 | 42% ±10 | 92 | 4% ±2 | 20% ±10 | 40% ±22 | 56% ±34 | 5.3d | 2.17% | 1.56% | 339 → 8 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 2,313.8–2,315.62 (+2.6%) | 3.8 | 9.1% | 3.7d | 1.4d ago · 79× | 24% ±13 | 37% ±11 | 15% ±8 | 48% ±11 | 75 | 5% ±3 | 25% ±13 | 46% ±25 | 62% ±39 | 4.5d | 2.00% | 1.31% | 272 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 2,299.69–2,360.95 (+2.0%) | 2.8 | 4.9% | 1.7d | 7.9d ago · 82× | 42% ±12 | 51% ±11 | 23% ±9 | 26% ±10 | 77 | 11% ±3 | 42% ±12 | 58% ±21 | 66% ±31 | 1.5d | 1.94% | 1.88% | 379 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,282.54–2,283.98 (+1.2%) | 1.7 | 4.6% | 1.6d | 21.2d ago · 46× | 53% ±24 | 41% ±15 | 8% ±9 | 51% ±16 | 39 | 21% ±8 | 52% ±23 | 64% ±38 | 68% ±53 | 17h | 2.18% | 2.39% | 106 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,273.2 (+0.8%) | 1.1 | 2.9% | 18h | 5.4d ago · 56× | 79% ±17 | 49% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 45% ±14 | 48 | 56% ±8 | 78% ±17 | 84% ±27 | 90% ±34 | 3h | 2.38% | 1.83% | 134 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,255.61 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.