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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-09-25 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,699.52 (+1.5%) | 6.3 | 1.0% | 2h | 7.9d ago · 49× | building | 29% ±21 | 29% ±21 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 8% ±17 | 27% ±61 | 66% | 66% | 2.0d | 0.25% | 0.44% | 10 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,683.34 (+1.3%) | 5.3 | 1.6% | 2h | 5.6d ago · 71× | 19% ±54 | 19% ±16 | 48% ±20 | 33% ±19 | 24 | 6% ±11 | 17% ±43 | 72% | 79% | 2.1d | 0.30% | 0.29% | 16 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 6,649.07 (+0.8%) | 3.1 | 3.9% | 6h | 5.8d ago · 66× | 24% ±38 | 25% ±19 | 54% ±21 | 21% ±17 | 21 | 9% ±10 | 24% ±38 | 55% ±69 | 94% | 2.2d | 0.55% | 0.22% | 32 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,631.73–6,641.9 (+0.5%) | 2.1 | 3.8% | 5h | 5.9d ago · 65× | 54% ±69 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 7% ±15 | 54% ±69 | 93% | 93% | 1.0d | — | — | 12 → 1 |
| 7D VAL · 7D POC | 6,627.32–6,634.17 (+0.4%) | 1.8 | 1.6% | 2h | 5.9d ago · 78× | 50% ±69 | 32% ±21 | 32% ±21 | 36% ±22 | 19 | 27% ±24 | 49% ±69 | 93% | 93% | 1.1d | 0.26% | 0.35% | 13 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 6,609.7–6,611.24 (+0.2%) | 0.7 | 7.7% | 11h | 5.9d ago · 51× | 89% ±35 | 28% ±24 | 28% ±24 | 45% ±27 | 13 | 65% ±20 | 89% ±30 | 95% | 95% | 2h | 0.22% | 0.35% | 21 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,598.8 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 6,579.34 (-0.3%) | 1.2 | 2.8% | 4h | 7.6d ago · 58× | 42% ±56 | 29% ±27 | 36% ±28 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 37% ±23 | 42% ±56 | 42% | 58% | 4.0d | 1.06% | 0.25% | 17 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,547–6,574.11 (-0.4%) | 1.5 | 0.7% | 53m | 1.6d ago · 55× | 32% ±41 | 43% ±29 | 29% ±27 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 22% ±15 | 32% ±41 | 48% ±69 | 84% | 3.9d | 0.65% | 0.07% | 30 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,469.04–6,502.93 (-1.5%) | 6.0 | 3.9% | 6h | 5.8d ago · 62× | 9% ±26 | 37% ±24 | 37% ±24 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 3% ±6 | 12% ±29 | 36% ±67 | 64% | 5.1d | 0.68% | 0.18% | 31 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,489.38 (-1.7%) | 6.8 | 4.3% | 7h | 6.9d ago · 41× | 5% ±18 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±5 | 5% ±18 | 5% ±30 | 8% | > 7d | — | — | 38 → 1 |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.