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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-09-26 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,971 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,699.52 (+1.3%) | 4.7 | 1.2% | 2h | 6.0d ago · 71× | 18% ±38 | 23% ±17 | 40% ±20 | 37% ±19 | 24 | 4% ±8 | 17% ±37 | 61% | 80% | 2.5d | 0.28% | 0.36% | 24 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D POC | 6,649.07–6,650.66 (+0.5%) | 1.9 | 4.4% | 7h | 6.2d ago · 78× | 43% ±43 | 28% ±19 | 44% ±21 | 28% ±19 | 21 | 18% ±14 | 47% ±44 | 65% ±66 | 92% | 1.8d | 0.41% | 0.28% | 30 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,634.37 (+0.3%) | 1.1 | 5.6% | 7h | 7.1d ago · 49× | building | building | building | building | building | 6 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 8 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 6,631.73–6,641.9 (+0.3%) | 1.0 | 4.3% | 6h | 6.2d ago · 65× | 65% ±54 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 44% ±24 | 67% ±53 | 94% | 94% | 21h | — | — | 16 → 1 |
| at post · 6,613.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 6,606.31–6,608.27 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 9.1% | 13h | 6.0d ago · 63× | 76% ±37 | 25% ±20 | 45% ±23 | 30% ±21 | 18 | 67% ±17 | 76% ±37 | 80% ±56 | 80% | 10h | 0.60% | 0.14% | 29 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,579.34 (-0.5%) | 1.8 | 3.5% | 5h | 8.0d ago · 58× | 22% ±47 | 29% ±27 | 36% ±28 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 20% ±18 | 30% ±52 | 30% | 50% | 7.0d | 1.06% | 0.25% | 18 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,547–6,574.11 (-0.6%) | 2.1 | 1.1% | 1h | 1.2d ago · 55× | 22% ±36 | 43% ±29 | 29% ±27 | 29% ±27 | 11 | 18% ±13 | 26% ±39 | 44% ±69 | 76% | 3.9d | 0.65% | 0.07% | 32 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,469.04–6,502.93 (-1.7%) | 6.0 | 4.5% | 7h | 1.2d ago · 63× | 9% ±26 | 37% ±24 | 37% ±24 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 3% ±6 | 12% ±29 | 36% ±67 | 64% | 5.1d | 0.68% | 0.18% | 32 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,492.77 (-1.8%) | 6.5 | 5.1% | 9h | 7.2d ago · 41× | 5% ±18 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 3% ±5 | 5% ±18 | 5% ±31 | 8% | > 7d | — | — | 37 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | long | 6,613.3 | 6,649.07 | 6,579.34 | expired | +0.46% |
| 30d | POC | long | 6,613.3 | 6,699.52 | 6,492.77 | expired | +0.46% |