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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-09-26 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D POC · 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,693.66–6,699.52 (+0.8%) | 2.6 | 3.1% | 5h | 5.6d ago · 78× | 41% ±43 | 26% ±17 | 37% ±19 | 37% ±19 | 24 | 12% ±12 | 42% ±43 | 74% ±61 | 95% | 1.4d | 0.27% | 0.35% | 31 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 6,652.04 (+0.2%) | 0.5 | 4.8% | 8h | 5.8d ago · 66× | 84% ±29 | 25% ±19 | 54% ±21 | 21% ±17 | 21 | 73% ±15 | 84% ±29 | 89% ±43 | 93% | 1h | 0.55% | 0.22% | 35 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,645.29–6,652.07 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 4.3% | 7h | 5.8d ago · 65× | building | building | building | building | building | 7 | 75% ±27 | 83% ±52 | 92% | 92% | 1h | — | — | 10 → 1 |
| at post · 6,641.74 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 6,630.46 (-0.2%) | 0.6 | 4.5% | 6h | 7.6d ago · 67× | 79% ±40 | 13% ±18 | 56% ±27 | 31% ±25 | 13 | 75% ±18 | 79% ±40 | 79% | 83% | 1h | 0.93% | 0.25% | 22 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,580.89–6,618.17 (-0.4%) | 1.2 | 4.5% | 6h | 5.8d ago · 62× | 61% ±39 | 35% ±23 | 35% ±23 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 47% ±17 | 61% ±39 | 72% ±62 | 83% | 21h | 0.63% | 0.18% | 34 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 6,606.31–6,608.27 (-0.5%) | 1.7 | 10.1% | 14h | 5.6d ago · 63× | 42% ±43 | 26% ±20 | 43% ±22 | 31% ±21 | 19 | 25% ±16 | 43% ±43 | 57% ±69 | 62% | 1.9d | 0.64% | 0.14% | 28 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,588.24 (-0.8%) | 2.7 | 7.3% | 10h | 7.6d ago · 58× | 14% ±34 | 33% ±27 | 33% ±27 | 33% ±27 | 12 | 10% ±11 | 17% ±33 | 17% ±52 | 31% | > 7d | 1.08% | 0.23% | 28 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,547–6,574.11 (-1.0%) | 3.4 | 1.2% | 2h | 1.6d ago · 55× | 20% ±32 | 47% ±28 | 27% ±25 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 11% ±10 | 22% ±33 | 39% ±68 | 69% | 4.9d | 0.73% | 0.07% | 35 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,496.16 (-2.2%) | 7.3 | 5.3% | 9h | 6.8d ago · 41× | 4% ±14 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±4 | 4% ±14 | 4% ±22 | 6% | > 7d | — | — | 48 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 6,641.74 | 6,693.66 | 6,618.03 | expired | +0.03% |