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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-09-29 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,699.52 (+0.4%) | 1.3 | 1.4% | 2h | 7.9d ago · 49× | 66% ±42 | 29% ±21 | 29% ±21 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 45% ±19 | 66% ±42 | 86% ±48 | 97% | 21h | 0.25% | 0.44% | 27 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,673.13 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 6,670.85 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 2.1% | 3h | 5.8d ago · 52× | 91% ±33 | 25% ±21 | 40% ±23 | 35% ±23 | 17 | 82% ±17 | 91% ±33 | 91% | 91% | 1h | 0.27% | 0.27% | 20 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,628.34–6,658.85 (-0.2%) | 0.7 | 3.5% | 5h | 5.8d ago · 62× | 74% ±35 | 35% ±23 | 35% ±23 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 63% ±16 | 74% ±35 | 86% ±48 | 90% | 1h | 0.63% | 0.18% | 33 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 6,652.04 (-0.3%) | 1.1 | 5.3% | 8h | 13.9d ago · 40× | 71% ±51 | 14% ±21 | 50% ±30 | 36% ±28 | 11 | 57% ±22 | 71% ±51 | 71% | 81% | 3h | 0.31% | 0.07% | 19 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 6,638.93 (-0.5%) | 1.7 | 8.5% | 11h | 7.8d ago · 75× | 32% ±37 | 26% ±19 | 43% ±22 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 16% ±12 | 32% ±37 | 50% ±69 | 68% | 2.9d | 0.54% | 0.25% | 36 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 6,606.31–6,608.27 (-1.0%) | 3.2 | 11.0% | 14h | 5.7d ago · 63× | 17% ±30 | 30% ±20 | 40% ±22 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 5% ±7 | 17% ±30 | 34% ±66 | 53% | 6.9d | 0.62% | 0.14% | 33 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,591.21–6,591.37 (-1.2%) | 4.1 | 7.1% | 9h | 7.6d ago · 67× | 13% ±21 | 22% ±22 | 47% ±26 | 31% ±24 | 14 | 5% ±6 | 13% ±21 | 21% ±46 | 40% | > 7d | 0.93% | 0.21% | 59 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,547–6,570.72 (-1.5%) | 5.1 | 0.8% | 1h | 1.6d ago · 55× | 12% ±28 | 47% ±28 | 27% ±25 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 3% ±6 | 12% ±28 | 24% ±59 | 39% | > 7d | 0.73% | 0.07% | 32 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,519.88 (-2.3%) | 7.7 | 1.4% | 2h | 6.9d ago · 41× | 4% ±12 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±4 | 4% ±12 | 4% ±21 | 8% | > 7d | — | — | 53 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 6,673.13 | 6,693.66 | 6,638.93 | expired | -0.30% |
| 14d | VAH | long | 6,673.13 | 6,733.96 | 6,608.27 | expired | -0.30% |