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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-09-29 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,699.52 (+0.7%) | 2.5 | 1.3% | 2h | 8.0d ago · 49× | 42% ±39 | 29% ±21 | 29% ±21 | 43% ±23 | 18 | 16% ±12 | 41% ±39 | 72% ±62 | 93% | 1.9d | 0.25% | 0.44% | 35 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 6,655.01–6,664.34 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 5.5% | 8h | 5.8d ago · 71× | 77% ±31 | 23% ±17 | 50% ±20 | 27% ±18 | 24 | 66% ±14 | 77% ±31 | 90% ±41 | 96% | 1h | 0.44% | 0.25% | 44 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,650.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 6,638.93 (-0.2%) | 0.6 | 8.2% | 11h | 8.0d ago · 75× | 62% ±39 | 26% ±19 | 43% ±22 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 51% ±16 | 62% ±39 | 77% ±58 | 79% | 3h | 0.54% | 0.25% | 37 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,580.89–6,618.17 (-0.5%) | 1.7 | 4.6% | 6h | 6.0d ago · 62× | 41% ±43 | 35% ±23 | 35% ±23 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 30% ±16 | 42% ±43 | 55% ±69 | 71% | 2.0d | 0.63% | 0.18% | 31 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,591.21–6,608.27 (-0.6%) | 2.2 | 10.6% | 14h | 5.8d ago · 67× | 22% ±33 | 26% ±19 | 43% ±22 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 12% ±11 | 22% ±33 | 32% ±64 | 45% | 6.5d | 0.75% | 0.17% | 36 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,547–6,570.72 (-1.2%) | 4.1 | 0.8% | 1h | 1.8d ago · 55× | 15% ±29 | 47% ±28 | 27% ±25 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 7% ±8 | 15% ±26 | 30% ±63 | 52% | 7.0d | 0.73% | 0.07% | 39 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,526.66 (-1.9%) | 6.3 | 1.5% | 2h | 7.0d ago · 41× | 5% ±16 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±5 | 5% ±16 | 5% ±30 | 8% | > 7d | — | — | 40 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 6,650.9 | 6,608.27 | 6,666.49 | expired | +0.07% |