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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-09-30 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,699.52 (+0.7%) | 2.4 | 1.2% | 2h | 5.9d ago · 66× | 41% ±39 | 28% ±19 | 41% ±21 | 30% ±19 | 22 | 15% ±12 | 40% ±39 | 67% ±65 | 93% | 1.5d | 0.44% | 0.31% | 36 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 7D VAH | 6,658.07–6,664.9 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 6.4% | 9h | 5.7d ago · 78× | 79% ±30 | 24% ±17 | 42% ±20 | 34% ±19 | 24 | 67% ±14 | 79% ±28 | 93% ±30 | 97% | 1h | 0.31% | 0.31% | 45 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,653.18 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 6,637.95 (-0.2%) | 0.8 | 7.9% | 11h | 5.9d ago · 63× | 74% ±32 | 22% ±18 | 52% ±22 | 26% ±19 | 20 | 67% ±14 | 74% ±32 | 86% ±48 | 86% | 1h | 0.58% | 0.08% | 41 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,580.89–6,618.17 (-0.5%) | 1.8 | 4.4% | 6h | 5.9d ago · 62× | 37% ±42 | 35% ±23 | 35% ±23 | 30% ±22 | 17 | 23% ±15 | 36% ±42 | 49% ±69 | 68% | 5.9d | 0.63% | 0.18% | 29 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL · 30D POC | 6,606.31–6,614.95 (-0.6%) | 2.0 | 7.2% | 10h | 5.7d ago · 67× | 26% ±39 | 29% ±24 | 39% ±26 | 33% ±25 | 14 | 15% ±13 | 26% ±38 | 33% ±65 | 46% | 5.9d | 0.84% | 0.21% | 29 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,547–6,570.72 (-1.2%) | 4.3 | 0.7% | 1h | 1.7d ago · 55× | 18% ±31 | 47% ±28 | 27% ±25 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 7% ±8 | 17% ±28 | 33% ±65 | 52% | 7.0d | 0.73% | 0.07% | 39 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,530.05 (-1.9%) | 6.5 | 1.6% | 2h | 6.9d ago · 41× | 5% ±16 | building | building | building | building | 3 | 2% ±5 | 5% ±16 | 5% ±29 | 7% | > 7d | — | — | 41 → 1 |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 6,653.18 | 6,610.23 | 6,664.9 | stop | -0.42% |