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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2025-12-15 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,903.46 (+1.3%) | 3.1 | 1.9% | 2h | 7.6d ago · 49× | 23% ±22 | 30% ±16 | 36% ±17 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 6% ±5 | 22% ±22 | 52% ±44 | 69% ±64 | 3.0d | 0.53% | 0.28% | 84 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 14D VAH · 7D VAH · 30D POC | 6,845.85–6,868.94 (+0.4%) | 1.0 | 12.5% | 22h | 5.4d ago · 78× | 55% ±28 | 27% ±13 | 43% ±15 | 30% ±14 | 43 | 35% ±11 | 55% ±28 | 75% ±43 | 88% ±45 | 1.1d | 0.43% | 0.23% | 74 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,816.34 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 6,810.67–6,815.77 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 9.9% | 14h | 7.4d ago · 67× | 74% ±29 | 27% ±15 | 41% ±17 | 32% ±16 | 34 | 64% ±13 | 75% ±28 | 80% ±46 | 84% | 1h | 0.83% | 0.35% | 55 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,696.36 (-1.8%) | 4.2 | 2.8% | 4h | 6.6d ago · 41× | 15% ±23 | 33% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 33% ±24 | 15 | 9% ±8 | 14% ±23 | 33% ±53 | 39% | > 7d | 1.30% | 0.50% | 54 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.