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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-01-14 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,986.33 (+0.8%) | 3.0 | 2.3% | 46m | 7.6d ago · 49× | 22% ±20 | 24% ±13 | 48% ±16 | 29% ±14 | 39 | 5% ±4 | 22% ±20 | 50% ±40 | 70% ±63 | 3.0d | 0.47% | 0.22% | 101 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,965.21–6,965.27 (+0.5%) | 1.9 | 4.7% | 6h | 5.4d ago · 71× | 37% ±25 | 23% ±11 | 51% ±13 | 25% ±12 | 54 | 14% ±7 | 37% ±24 | 54% ±44 | 85% ±49 | 2.8d | 0.47% | 0.14% | 87 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 6,951.4 (+0.3%) | 1.2 | 4.6% | 7h | 5.6d ago · 46× | 62% ±32 | 22% ±15 | 41% ±18 | 38% ±18 | 29 | 47% ±13 | 61% ±30 | 86% ±39 | 91% | 6h | 0.41% | 0.37% | 57 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,928.41 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,914.23–6,918.43 (-0.1%) | 0.5 | 7.7% | 10h | 5.6d ago · 75× | 70% ±23 | 27% ±13 | 42% ±14 | 31% ±13 | 47 | 55% ±10 | 70% ±23 | 85% ±31 | 89% ±43 | 2h | 0.54% | 0.18% | 90 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,897.22 (-0.5%) | 1.6 | 8.6% | 11h | 7.4d ago · 58× | 38% ±30 | 27% ±16 | 30% ±16 | 42% ±18 | 30 | 21% ±10 | 38% ±30 | 51% ±57 | 74% | 2.8d | 0.82% | 0.46% | 59 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,885.74 (-0.6%) | 2.2 | 3.6% | 3h | 7.4d ago · 67× | 29% ±25 | 24% ±13 | 49% ±15 | 27% ±13 | 42 | 20% ±9 | 32% ±25 | 44% ±49 | 70% ±64 | 3.2d | 0.82% | 0.26% | 80 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,846.6 (-1.2%) | 4.3 | 2.3% | 2h | 6.6d ago · 41× | 9% ±15 | 26% ±19 | 43% ±22 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 6% ±5 | 9% ±15 | 27% ±39 | 38% ±67 | > 7d | 1.39% | 0.39% | 84 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 6,928.41 | 6,965.21 | 6,885.74 | target | +0.24% |