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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-08-17 13:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,816.7 (+0.5%) | 2.7 | <0.1% | 10m | 6.5d ago · 49× | 15% ±12 | 28% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 58 | 4% ±3 | 15% ±12 | 39% ±28 | 60% ±43 | 5.0d | 0.45% | 0.23% | 210 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 7,781.51–7,786.53 (+0.1%) | 0.5 | 2.9% | 6h | 4.5d ago · 65× | 71% ±17 | 29% ±11 | 32% ±11 | 40% ±11 | 70 | 55% ±8 | 71% ±17 | 82% ±25 | 87% ±33 | 3h | 0.54% | 0.40% | 153 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 7,779.41–7,783.88 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 2.1% | 4h | 4.3d ago · 71× | 73% ±14 | 28% ±9 | 42% ±10 | 30% ±9 | 95 | 55% ±7 | 73% ±14 | 84% ±21 | 89% ±27 | 3h | 0.41% | 0.19% | 223 → 5 | |
| at post · 7,774.48 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 7,716.14–7,761.39 (-0.2%) | 0.8 | 2.1% | 4h | 4.5d ago · 62× | 72% ±16 | 27% ±9 | 27% ±9 | 46% ±11 | 86 | 52% ±7 | 72% ±16 | 84% ±22 | 88% ±28 | 3h | 0.45% | 0.46% | 192 → 5 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 7,748.33–7,750.57 (-0.3%) | 1.5 | 7.2% | 11h | 4.3d ago · 75× | 44% ±20 | 27% ±9 | 36% ±10 | 37% ±10 | 86 | 21% ±7 | 44% ±20 | 69% ±32 | 81% ±45 | 1.6d | 0.50% | 0.34% | 143 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,717.25 (-0.7%) | 3.7 | 2.6% | 3h | 6.3d ago · 67× | 13% ±10 | 23% ±9 | 38% ±11 | 39% ±11 | 79 | 5% ±3 | 13% ±10 | 33% ±26 | 55% ±40 | 6.0d | 0.57% | 0.50% | 241 → 6 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,699.85 (-1.0%) | 4.8 | 1.2% | 1h | 6.3d ago · 58× | 13% ±12 | 25% ±11 | 35% ±12 | 40% ±12 | 60 | 2% ±2 | 13% ±12 | 35% ±28 | 46% ±44 | > 7d | 0.63% | 0.45% | 191 → 5 | |
| LVN zone | 7,615.59–7,685.98 (-1.1%) | 5.7 | 0.2% | 13m | 13.4d ago · 54× | 14% ±15 | 28% ±11 | 28% ±11 | 43% ±12 | 64 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±15 | 35% ±35 | 43% ±56 | > 7d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 130 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,439.61 (-4.3%) | 22 | 4.2% | 5h | 5.5d ago · 41× | 3% ±6 | 22% ±12 | 42% ±14 | 36% ±14 | 47 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±6 | 9% ±19 | 15% ±35 | > 7d | 0.77% | 0.55% | 157 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 7,774.48 | 7,750.57 | 7,795.88 | target | +0.87% |
| 14d | VAH | short | 7,774.48 | 7,748.33 | 7,793.73 | target | +0.87% |