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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-08-17 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,816.7 (+0.8%) | 4.2 | <0.1% | 9m | 6.9d ago · 49× | 8% ±9 | 28% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 58 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±9 | 23% ±22 | 49% ±40 | > 7d | 0.45% | 0.23% | 248 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,783.88 (+0.4%) | 1.9 | 3.2% | 6h | 4.7d ago · 71× | 34% ±17 | 26% ±9 | 43% ±10 | 32% ±9 | 95 | 12% ±5 | 34% ±17 | 49% ±31 | 70% ±45 | 3.1d | 0.40% | 0.19% | 186 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 7,776.48–7,786.53 (+0.3%) | 1.4 | 1.7% | 3h | 4.9d ago · 65× | 53% ±18 | 29% ±11 | 32% ±11 | 40% ±11 | 70 | 30% ±7 | 53% ±18 | 67% ±29 | 79% ±40 | 1.0d | 0.54% | 0.40% | 178 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 7,772.26 (+0.2%) | 1.1 | 1.7% | 3h | 4.9d ago · 66× | 60% ±17 | 32% ±10 | 41% ±11 | 27% ±10 | 78 | 40% ±7 | 60% ±17 | 74% ±26 | 86% ±30 | 21h | 0.42% | 0.19% | 195 → 5 | |
| at post · 7,756.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 7,748.82–7,750.57 (-0.1%) | 0.4 | 6.6% | 11h | 4.7d ago · 75× | 75% ±17 | 27% ±9 | 36% ±10 | 37% ±10 | 86 | 57% ±8 | 75% ±17 | 87% ±22 | 92% ±27 | 2h | 0.50% | 0.34% | 155 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 7,717.25 (-0.5%) | 2.7 | 2.3% | 3h | 6.7d ago · 67× | 25% ±14 | 23% ±9 | 38% ±11 | 39% ±11 | 79 | 10% ±4 | 25% ±14 | 43% ±28 | 65% ±42 | 4.9d | 0.57% | 0.50% | 214 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 7,698.93 (-0.7%) | 4.0 | 0.9% | 1h | 6.7d ago · 58× | 18% ±13 | 25% ±11 | 35% ±12 | 40% ±12 | 60 | 3% ±2 | 18% ±13 | 38% ±29 | 51% ±44 | 7.0d | 0.63% | 0.45% | 190 → 5 | |
| LVN zone | 7,615.59–7,685.98 (-0.9%) | 4.9 | 0.2% | 12m | 13.8d ago · 54× | 18% ±15 | 28% ±11 | 28% ±11 | 43% ±12 | 64 | 3% ±3 | 18% ±15 | 42% ±34 | 50% ±57 | 7.0d | 0.51% | 0.38% | 145 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 7,499.95–7,515.03 (-3.1%) | 17 | 2.3% | 3h | 4.9d ago · 62× | 14% ±48 | 27% ±9 | 27% ±9 | 46% ±11 | 86 | 14% ±20 | 14% ±48 | 14% | 14% | > 7d | 0.45% | 0.46% | 12 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,439.61 (-4.1%) | 22 | 3.9% | 5h | 5.9d ago · 41× | 3% ±6 | 22% ±12 | 42% ±14 | 36% ±14 | 47 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±6 | 9% ±20 | 15% ±35 | > 7d | 0.77% | 0.55% | 152 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 7,756.4 | 7,748.93 | 7,785.46 | target | +0.69% |