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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-09-17 19:30 UTC
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S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 7,697.64 (+0.8%) | 2.7 | 2.7% | 4h | 6.6d ago · 49× | 15% ±11 | 28% ±12 | 41% ±13 | 31% ±12 | 58 | 4% ±3 | 15% ±11 | 37% ±27 | 56% ±43 | 5.9d | 0.45% | 0.23% | 221 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH · 30D POC | 7,667.77–7,672.59 (+0.4%) | 1.4 | 12.9% | 23h | 4.5d ago · 66× | 43% ±17 | 30% ±10 | 40% ±11 | 30% ±10 | 81 | 24% ±6 | 43% ±17 | 61% ±29 | 76% ±37 | 1.8d | 0.45% | 0.21% | 199 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 7,652.81–7,687.09 (+0.2%) | 0.7 | 5.7% | 10h | 4.6d ago · 65× | 67% ±16 | 31% ±10 | 32% ±10 | 37% ±11 | 81 | 48% ±7 | 67% ±16 | 80% ±24 | 86% ±30 | 6h | 0.54% | 0.36% | 204 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 7D VAH | 7,637.46–7,648.25 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 10.6% | 13h | 4.4d ago · 71× | 74% ±14 | 28% ±9 | 39% ±10 | 33% ±9 | 98 | 56% ±7 | 74% ±14 | 84% ±21 | 88% ±28 | 2h | 0.40% | 0.22% | 220 → 5 | |
| at post · 7,637.05 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 7,632.17 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 9.6% | 11h | 6.5d ago · 75× | 77% ±17 | 27% ±9 | 36% ±10 | 36% ±10 | 93 | 58% ±8 | 77% ±17 | 90% ±21 | 95% ±22 | 2h | 0.44% | 0.31% | 149 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 7,570.8–7,584.25 (-0.7%) | 2.4 | 6.1% | 7h | 5.6d ago · 67× | 28% ±14 | 22% ±9 | 37% ±10 | 40% ±10 | 85 | 10% ±4 | 28% ±14 | 47% ±27 | 65% ±42 | 4.1d | 0.60% | 0.50% | 229 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.