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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-09-28 20:00 UTC
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S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 7,779.45 (+1.2%) | 4.0 | 1.5% | 2h | 4.6d ago · 66× | 9% ±9 | 31% ±10 | 40% ±10 | 29% ±10 | 84 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±9 | 22% ±22 | 51% ±40 | 7.0d | 0.40% | 0.20% | 257 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,735.54 (+0.7%) | 2.2 | 3.8% | 6h | 4.4d ago · 71× | 27% ±15 | 24% ±8 | 44% ±10 | 32% ±9 | 100 | 9% ±4 | 27% ±15 | 45% ±29 | 68% ±41 | 4.0d | 0.37% | 0.20% | 205 → 5 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D VAH | 7,703.84–7,710.84 (+0.3%) | 0.8 | 7.3% | 10h | 4.6d ago · 78× | 63% ±16 | 30% ±9 | 36% ±10 | 34% ±10 | 91 | 44% ±7 | 64% ±16 | 76% ±25 | 85% ±31 | 14h | 0.44% | 0.29% | 198 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 7,702.61–7,719.07 (+0.2%) | 0.8 | 7.0% | 10h | 4.6d ago · 65× | 67% ±15 | 31% ±10 | 33% ±10 | 36% ±10 | 85 | 47% ±7 | 67% ±15 | 79% ±23 | 86% ±30 | 18h | 0.54% | 0.35% | 217 → 5 | |
| at post · 7,683.69 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 7,664.96 (-0.2%) | 0.8 | 7.2% | 11h | 6.4d ago · 67× | 74% ±15 | 22% ±9 | 36% ±10 | 42% ±10 | 86 | 49% ±7 | 74% ±15 | 82% ±23 | 92% ±24 | 18h | 0.56% | 0.51% | 198 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 7,625.77–7,644.98 (-0.5%) | 1.6 | 7.5% | 10h | 4.6d ago · 62× | 49% ±19 | 26% ±9 | 25% ±9 | 48% ±10 | 92 | 25% ±7 | 50% ±19 | 66% ±31 | 80% ±40 | 1.0d | 0.43% | 0.46% | 169 → 4 | |
| 30D POC · 14D VAL | 7,634–7,638.12 (-0.6%) | 1.9 | 10.9% | 15h | 4.4d ago · 58× | 34% ±19 | 26% ±10 | 34% ±11 | 40% ±12 | 67 | 13% ±5 | 34% ±19 | 54% ±35 | 70% ±52 | 2.7d | 0.53% | 0.47% | 146 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,576.38 (-1.4%) | 4.5 | 2.7% | 3h | 5.6d ago · 41× | 13% ±12 | 22% ±11 | 41% ±13 | 37% ±13 | 51 | 4% ±3 | 12% ±12 | 30% ±28 | 45% ±49 | > 7d | 0.69% | 0.55% | 184 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.