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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-09-29 13:30 UTC
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S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,966 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0015), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.71 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 7,779.45 (+1.3%) | 3.9 | 1.6% | 2h | 4.5d ago · 66× | 9% ±9 | 31% ±10 | 40% ±10 | 29% ±10 | 84 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±9 | 24% ±22 | 52% ±40 | 7.0d | 0.40% | 0.20% | 254 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 7,734.89 (+0.7%) | 2.1 | 3.9% | 6h | 4.3d ago · 71× | 28% ±15 | 24% ±8 | 44% ±10 | 32% ±9 | 100 | 9% ±4 | 28% ±15 | 45% ±29 | 68% ±41 | 3.9d | 0.37% | 0.20% | 205 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 7,705.35–7,719.07 (+0.3%) | 0.9 | 8.0% | 11h | 4.5d ago · 65× | 66% ±15 | 31% ±10 | 33% ±10 | 36% ±10 | 85 | 45% ±6 | 66% ±15 | 78% ±22 | 86% ±30 | 18h | 0.54% | 0.35% | 230 → 5 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D VAH | 7,703.98–7,710.84 (+0.3%) | 0.9 | 7.6% | 11h | 4.5d ago · 78× | 63% ±16 | 30% ±9 | 36% ±10 | 34% ±10 | 91 | 44% ±7 | 64% ±16 | 76% ±25 | 85% ±31 | 14h | 0.44% | 0.29% | 199 → 5 | |
| at post · 7,682.79 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 7,664.9 (-0.2%) | 0.7 | 7.4% | 12h | 6.3d ago · 67× | 75% ±15 | 22% ±9 | 36% ±10 | 42% ±10 | 86 | 49% ±7 | 75% ±15 | 82% ±23 | 92% ±24 | 18h | 0.56% | 0.51% | 191 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 7,625.77–7,644.98 (-0.5%) | 1.5 | 7.8% | 11h | 4.5d ago · 62× | 52% ±18 | 26% ±9 | 25% ±9 | 48% ±10 | 92 | 28% ±7 | 53% ±18 | 68% ±30 | 81% ±39 | 1.0d | 0.43% | 0.46% | 170 → 4 | |
| 30D POC · 14D VAL | 7,636.75–7,638.12 (-0.6%) | 1.8 | 11.3% | 15h | 4.3d ago · 58× | 39% ±20 | 26% ±10 | 34% ±11 | 40% ±12 | 67 | 17% ±6 | 39% ±19 | 58% ±34 | 75% ±42 | 2.5d | 0.53% | 0.47% | 147 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 7,576.38 (-1.4%) | 4.3 | 2.8% | 3h | 5.5d ago · 41× | 13% ±12 | 22% ±11 | 41% ±13 | 37% ±13 | 51 | 4% ±3 | 13% ±12 | 34% ±29 | 51% ±49 | 6.0d | 0.69% | 0.55% | 175 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.