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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-30 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,739.62 (+14.0%) | 18 | 0.3% | 2h | 21.5d ago · 44× | 2% ±6 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 2% ±2 | 2% ±5 | 14% ±26 | 53% ±56 | 6.4d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 127 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,437.45 (+6.8%) | 8.5 | 2.5% | 11h | 3.4d ago · 70× | 14% ±12 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±12 | 36% ±28 | 66% ±42 | 4.9d | 2.23% | 1.75% | 192 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 4,299.73 (+3.5%) | 4.3 | 5.5% | 2.3d | 3.2d ago · 67× | 14% ±26 | 19% ±21 | 25% ±24 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 4% ±6 | 13% ±23 | 30% ±52 | 56% | 6.1d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 46 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 4,228.78 (+1.7%) | 2.2 | 0.6% | 3h | 105.5d ago · 18× | 6% ±34 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 5% ±11 | 5% ±25 | 5% | 5% | > 7d | — | — | 17 → 1 |
| LVN zone | 4,219.32–4,257.16 (+1.5%) | 1.9 | 0.8% | 5h | 2.0d ago · 50× | 52% ±49 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 14% ±13 | 53% ±49 | 65% | 96% | 1.0d | — | — | 26 → 1 |
| 14D POC | 4,178.96 (+0.5%) | 0.7 | 3.1% | 1.1d | 3.2d ago · 79× | 86% ±24 | 32% ±23 | 5% ±11 | 63% ±24 | 16 | 69% ±13 | 87% ±24 | 92% ±30 | 94% | 1h | 2.02% | 1.85% | 50 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 4,172.02–4,181.48 (+0.4%) | 0.5 | 3.1% | 1.1d | 1.2d ago · 83× | 81% ±27 | 62% ±22 | 10% ±14 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 66% ±13 | 81% ±26 | 91% ±33 | 91% | 2h | 2.34% | 1.46% | 51 → 1 | |
| at post · 4,156.16 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 4,144.9 (-0.3%) | 0.3 | 1.7% | 11h | 3.4d ago · 65× | 81% ±39 | 47% ±24 | 5% ±11 | 47% ±24 | 16 | 68% ±18 | 82% ±38 | 82% | 82% | 1h | 2.62% | 1.77% | 26 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 4,049.04–4,086.88 (-1.7%) | 2.1 | 0.7% | 2h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 43% ±25 | 60% ±23 | 20% ±19 | 20% ±19 | 17 | 14% ±7 | 42% ±25 | 51% ±44 | 58% ±68 | 2.1d | 3.52% | 1.53% | 92 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 4,006.82 (-3.6%) | 4.5 | 2.2% | 24h | 3.1d ago · 106× | 26% ±20 | 60% ±18 | 3% ±7 | 37% ±18 | 27 | 3% ±3 | 26% ±20 | 46% ±40 | 62% ±55 | 3.6d | 2.91% | 1.22% | 114 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,868.74 (-6.9%) | 8.7 | 0.4% | 1h | 3.0d ago · 85× | 7% ±9 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±17 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±8 | 15% ±20 | 38% ±42 | > 7d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 221 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,822 (-8.0%) | 10 | 0.1% | 9m | 3.0d ago · 59× | 6% ±8 | 62% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 0% ±1 | 6% ±7 | 17% ±21 | 42% ±43 | > 7d | 2.68% | 0.82% | 229 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.