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ETH · 1h · posted 2025-09-30 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,441 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0030), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.23 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 4,739.62 (+15.7%) | 21 | 0.2% | 2h | 21.5d ago · 44× | 3% ±9 | 31% ±29 | 15% ±22 | 54% ±31 | 10 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 9% ±26 | 61% ±67 | 5.7d | 1.68% | 2.10% | 83 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 4,355.39 (+6.3%) | 8.5 | 2.9% | 15h | 3.4d ago · 70× | 14% ±12 | 48% ±22 | 4% ±9 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±12 | 36% ±28 | 66% ±42 | 4.9d | 2.23% | 1.75% | 192 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 4,299.73 (+4.9%) | 6.6 | 5.0% | 2.2d | 3.2d ago · 67× | 12% ±20 | 19% ±21 | 25% ±24 | 56% ±27 | 13 | 3% ±4 | 11% ±20 | 22% ±47 | 66% | 5.3d | 0.99% | 1.96% | 62 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 4,219.32–4,257.16 (+3.0%) | 4.0 | 0.8% | 5h | 2.0d ago · 50× | 45% ±56 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 11% ±12 | 56% ±49 | 56% | 96% | 20h | — | — | 25 → 1 |
| 30D VAL | 4,209.86 (+2.7%) | 3.7 | 1.1% | 7h | 105.5d ago · 18× | 5% ±24 | building | building | building | building | 0 | 4% ±8 | 8% ±26 | 8% | 13% | > 7d | — | — | 24 → 1 |
| HVN zone | 4,162.56–4,181.48 (+1.6%) | 2.1 | 2.7% | 21h | 1.2d ago · 83× | 42% ±28 | 62% ±22 | 10% ±14 | 29% ±21 | 18 | 11% ±7 | 40% ±28 | 47% ±49 | 49% ±69 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.46% | 73 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 4,162.55 (+1.6%) | 2.1 | 2.7% | 21h | 3.2d ago · 79× | 52% ±35 | 32% ±23 | 5% ±11 | 63% ±24 | 16 | 20% ±12 | 53% ±35 | 69% ±52 | 78% | 23h | 2.02% | 1.85% | 47 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 4,140.65 (+1.0%) | 1.4 | 1.7% | 10h | 3.5d ago · 97× | 61% ±25 | 45% ±19 | 10% ±12 | 45% ±19 | 26 | 36% ±10 | 62% ±25 | 78% ±36 | 88% ±45 | 9h | 1.92% | 1.62% | 89 → 2 | |
| at post · 4,097.86 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 4,049.04–4,086.88 (-0.3%) | 0.4 | 0.6% | 2h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 81% ±27 | 60% ±23 | 20% ±19 | 20% ±19 | 17 | 60% ±14 | 81% ±27 | 83% ±42 | 88% | 2h | 3.52% | 1.53% | 46 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 4,006.82 (-2.2%) | 3.0 | 2.0% | 22h | 3.1d ago · 106× | 43% ±24 | 60% ±18 | 3% ±7 | 37% ±18 | 27 | 11% ±6 | 43% ±24 | 62% ±43 | 74% ±61 | 1.5d | 2.91% | 1.22% | 96 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 3,868.74 (-5.6%) | 7.5 | 0.4% | 58m | 3.0d ago · 85× | 11% ±10 | 61% ±21 | 17% ±17 | 22% ±18 | 20 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±10 | 21% ±22 | 44% ±44 | > 7d | 2.57% | 0.74% | 227 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,822 (-6.7%) | 9.1 | <0.1% | 8m | 3.0d ago · 59× | 8% ±9 | 62% ±30 | 15% ±22 | 23% ±26 | 10 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±9 | 22% ±23 | 47% ±44 | > 7d | 2.68% | 0.82% | 211 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 4,097.86 | 4,006.82 | 4,189.6 | stop | -5.49% |